Amazing Computer Technology
of the Near Future
Millions of people around the world use them a day. Nearly
every company and lots of jobs depend upon it. Cars, iPods, cell phones, cruise
ships, satellites, and lots of other gadgets wouldn't work without it.
Practically anything electronic that's in use today uses it. Computers have
changed the way we live, and, now, most folks wouldn’t know what to try to without them. These electronic computing machines have advanced tons since
their beginning within the 1940s. At that point, one computer filled up an
area and had a little fraction of the computing power of an iPhone. Yes,
computers have come quite far away from their humble origins, but if computers
within the future improve as researchers say they're going to, the
improvements since the 1940s are going to be nothing in comparison. The
developments and ideas for the longer term of technology are really quite
amazing. Before we glance at the long term of computers, let’s take a fast
glimpse of the past.
In 1938, Konrad Zuse invents the Z1 Computer. This primitive
machine is an early binary computer. Unlike later computers, his invention
wasn't capable of memory storage. Us military created the ENIAC (Electronic
Numerical Integrator and Computer) in 1945 (4). This early computer, like
modern computers, could store and save data. A few decades later, in 1970, the
primary RAM (random-access memory) chip and therefore the first microprocessor,
the Intel 4004, came into existence, replacing vacuum-tube technology (4). A
year earlier, the military developed a network that might be the origin of the
internet: ARPANET. ARPANET is an acronym for Advanced Research Projects Agency
Network. It was a network of computers meant to share the burden of computing
in order that one computer, with the assistance of a couple of others within
the network, could perform its computations faster (12). It is also thought to
be a network for preserving information just in case of a nuclear attack.
Twenty-two years later, in 1991, the planet Wide Web was
available to the general public (4). According to James Coates of the Chicago
Tribune, during the “Great Holiday Blowout of 1995,…more people bought personal
computers than ever in history” (3). During the ‘90s computers became more
commonplace and websites multiplied in number.
Since the web boom of the ‘90s, computers ready to access
the web have shrunk so small that they will easily slot in a pocket. The iPhone
and other smartphones can access the web, snap and save pictures, record
videos, and perform most of the functions of a personal computer. The
invention of touch-sensitive screens was also a big improvement and was
necessary for smartphones. The smart-phone market has seen even the program
company, Google, adding their own phone, the Nexus One.
Google’s CEO, Eric Schmidt, has some interesting opinions
about the longer term of computing. He believes that a computer 50 years from
now will have a “computational capability that's with great carefree then
amazing that folks will assume that it's an assistant. It knows who you are, it
knows what you do, it makes suggestions, it intuits things for you” (1). In a
similar way that the Google program makes suggestions once you start to enter
an inquiry phrase, the computers of the longer term are going to be ready to
accurately guess what you want and will provide you with suggestions. Schmidt
also believes that computers of the longer term are going to be much faster
than today.
Computer processing speed today is restricted by the speed
of electrons moving through metal and electronic components. Research into a
replacement sort of circuit is being made by Queen’s University Belfast and
Imperial College London (13). Like modern circuits, the new circuit would also
use metal, but on a way smaller scale than what's achieved today. The
components being developed are more than 100 times smaller than the width of a
human hair (13) and consist of arrangements of metal structures that interact
with light in a unique way. The researchers call the small components of “nanoplasmonic devices” (13). Instead of electrons passing through the small
circuits, light particles (photons) would transmit data at lightning speeds.
The team is developing nanoscale waveguides to direct light along a desired
route and nanoscale light detectors to detect the sunshine signals (13). The
belief is that computers in the future may run at much higher speeds, allowing
for greater processing power and much smaller size. Having high-speed and
smaller components is not the only goal for future computers. Some believe that
components of the human body, such as neurons and DNA, can one day be used to
advance computer technology to a new level. Researchers from I.B.M. and four
universities are currently working on a project to create a computer that
mimics the brain. The four universities--Cornell University; the University of
California, Merced; Columbia University; and the University of Wisconsin--and
I.B.M. started the project in 2008 (8). A large and complex project with a
broad goal to use the brain as an inspiration for a computer, the project, over
time, began to focus on developing a computer that somewhat resembled the brain
in its structure.
Unlike modern computers, the brain is made of billions of
neurons, synapses, and complex pathways. The synapses act as data storage
centers and link the neurons to each other. Electrical impulses rapidly pass
through the axons--cores of the neurons--and get stored and transmitted by the
synapses. In a computer, the data storage center is separate from the processor
(8). A communications channel, a bus, links the two together (8).
The team from the four universities and I.B.M. has developed
a “neuromorphic” computer chip that attempts to copy the structure of the brain
(8). It contains 256 neuron-like nodes connected to 262,000 data storage
modules resembling synapses (8). When connected to a computer, the chip allows
it to recognize numbers written by a person. The computer connected to the chip
has also learned how to play Pong, a primitive computer game. The computer is
still in the developmental stages, but its future applications are numerous.
According to scientists on the team, neuromorphic computers could guide robots
through battlefields and allow robots to be trained instead of just programmed;
neuromorphic computers in health-care monitors could alert nursing-home staff
when a resident is sick, and neuromorphic computers could provide sight to
blind people through a high-tech prosthetic eye (8). Even if these concepts
become realities, scientists admit that neuromorphic computers will not be able
to exactly resemble the structure or functioning of the human brain. The brain
is an organ we still do not fully understand. Copying it exactly would be
impossible.
Another interesting idea for the future of computing that
relies on components of the human body is being pursued by Jian-Jun Shu at the
Nanyang Technical University in Singapore. Shu’s idea is that computers may one
day be based on DNA. One problem with modern computer circuits is that as
computer components get smaller, they tend to heat up faster. Another problem
is that the binary system--zeros and ones--used by all computers today has
limits when computers are trying to solve highly complex equations. She told
PhysOrg.com, “With DNA-based computing, you can do more than have ones and
zeroes. DNA is made up of A, G, C, T, which gives it more range. DNA-based
computing has the potential to deal with fuzzy data, going beyond digital data”
(10).
Shu and his students are able to manipulate DNA strands by
combining or splitting them. The DNA strands will, according to Shu’s model,
store information that can then be retrieved and used for computation. Shu
explained to PhysOrg.com that, “We can join strands together, creating an
addition operation, or we can divide by making the DNA smaller by
denaturalization. We expect that more complex operations can be done as well”
(10). At this point in time, DNA computers are just a concept, without any real
prototype. One day, DNA, the very substance that controls how we look and how
we grow, might be used to speed up computers. The range of applications of such
DNA computers really is beyond what we can perceive right now. The processing
power of such a computer would be tremendous.
While the full range of the applications for DNA and
neuromorphic computers is really beyond our full comprehension right now, the
applications for our current technology are starting to be realized. The first
long-distance test drive of autonomous, or self-driving, vehicles was done in
2010 during the VisLab Intercontinental Autonomous Challenge (5). A number of
vans, equipped with a sophisticated array of equipment, drove from Italy to
China with little human intervention, for the 2010 World Fair in Shanghai (5).
That same year, Google rolled out its own fleet of autonomous vehicles.
Now, imagine for a moment that you are driving through
California, down Highway 1. You look to your left and see a grey Toyota Prius
with a strange device mounted to the roof. Two people are inside, but the guy
sitting in the driver’s seat doesn’t appear to be driving. His hands are
resting on his lap, but the car is staying perfectly in its own lane. You’ve
seen one of Google’s seven autonomous test cars. As if to prove that it was not
only limited to the search engine and software business, Google has launched
its own fleet of self-driving cars.
Google’s Toyota Priuses are each equipped with a high tech
array of sensors, processors, and cameras (9). A device called a lidar,
attached to the top of the experimental car, records a detailed map of the
surroundings. Hanging from the car ceiling and aimed toward the front of the
car, through the window, a video camera provides video of the road ahead.
Through it, the onboard computer can recognize obstacles and people in its path
and respond appropriately. Three radar sensors in the front and one in the rear
provide input about the positions of cars and other objects nearby. And, if
that’s not enough, a position estimator measures movement made by the car and
helps the onboard computer to accurately locate its position on a map.
A technician, seated in the front passenger’s seat, monitors
a computer screen while a hired “driver” sits in the driver’s seat and watches
the Prius drive itself (9). If something were to go wrong, the “driver” could
tap on the break and regain control of the car. The system that Google
developed for its self-driving cars has proven to be very reliable. The seven
test cars drove a total of 140,000 miles with little human intervention (9). It
is estimated that it will be more than eight years from now when self-driving
cars will be on the market, but Google’s cars have proven that
computer-controlled vehicles can be very safe. Because of Google and other tech
companies experimenting with self-driving vehicles, Nevada has become the first
state to legalized self-driving cars (6). Five other states, including
California, are considering legalizing the novelty as well (6).
Google is not the only software company to use the software
in applications apart from the desktop computer. Microsoft has been attempting
to visualize what the future may hold for the home. A project that started in
the 1990s, the “Microsoft Home” contains gadgets that Microsoft believes may
found in homes of the future. The house is located at Microsoft’s campus in
Redmond, Washington. First built in 1994, the house has undergone a number of
changes and updates over the years (11). The latest version is 2011
Microsoft Home. That year, Jonathan Clubs, director of consumer prototyping and
strategy at Microsoft, led a tour through the house, demonstrating its amazing
features. Placing his hand on a hand scanner at the door, he waited briefly for
it to unlock before stepping through.
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